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Glacier hazards
Since the Alps are among the most densely populated high mountain areas
in the world, Switzerland is specially affected by glacial and periglacial
hazards. On the other hand, however, it also has an extensive and well-recognized
tradition in investigating such processes. In fact, the Swiss Federal
Government undertakes continued and considerable efforts in this field.
Following the ice-avalanche catastrophe of Mattmark in 1965, a Working
Group for Glacier Hazards had been established by the Swiss Government
(Bundesrat) for a number of years into the 1970-es. As a result, a systematic
inventory of historical events in Switzerland was compiled, analyzed and
applied (Haeberli and others, 1989). After a number of projects related
to glacier hazards, the Swiss National Research Programme 31 'Climate
Change and Natural Catastrophes' comprised a specific scientific project
on ice melting and natural hazards (Haeberli et al. 1999). A number of
monitoring and modelling studies related to single hazardous situations
have been performed in connection with recent catastrophes or imminent
hazard situations (cf. for instance, Haeberli and others, 2001 and in
press; Kääb, 2000; Margreth and Funk, 1999). At present, an
approach for area-wide modelling of glacier hazard potentials with respect
to an integrated and adequate information base for planning and detailed
monitoring is being developed (cf., Huggel and others, 2002 and submitted).
Glacier hazards stored in the database include ice avalanches, debris
flows from outbursts of subglacial water reservoirs and periglacial lakes,
rock falls and debris flows in and from glacial environments. If available
quantitative measures of the magnitude of events are stored in the database
(categories reservoir volume, outburst flood or ice break-off volume,
maximum discharge).
Magnitudes
Involved magnitudes are highly variable. For ice avalanches, the volume
of ice breaking off ranges between tens or hundred thousand to 4.5 million
cubic meters. Lake outburst volume is recorded from tens thousand to a
maximum of 20 millions of cubic meters of water. Maximum discharge from
lake outbursts range between about a hundred to 8000 cubic meters per
second and , in case of outbursts from subglacial water reservoirs, can
reach up to 200 cubic meters per second. In high moutain regions with
larger glacier dimensions, such as the Himalayas, stored water volumes
in glacier lakes reach over 100 millions of cubic meters, and peak-discharge
values of more than 10,000 cubic meters per second have been reported.
Geographic distribution
The main concentration of historical events of glacier catastrophes is
in the southern Swiss Alps, Canton Valais (see figure). This is due to
the large glacierized area and particularly steep terrain. Another important
region is found in the central Swiss Alps, i.e. in the Bernese Alps. The
eastern Swiss Alps have experienced only a limited number of events.
Figure geographic distribution (click to enlarge)
Seasonal variability
The below figure shows the distribution of different kinds of glacier
hazards over the year. Outoutbursts from glacier lakes occur in a period
from May to October with a clear peak in July/ August. Ice avalanches,
however, can take place during the whole year depending on the geometry
of the rupture plane and subglacial temperature conditions (permafrost).
In fact, winter events of ice avalanches are especially dangerous since
the runout distance can be enlarged due to reduced friction of the snow
surface and large snow avalanches can be triggered. Ruptures of subglacial
water reservoirs, also termed water pockets, show a similar distribution
during the year as lake outbursts. Their peak in summer months is related
to the collection of water underneath the glacier after the onset of the
melt season. From June on, in certain cases the water may reach a sufficiently
high pressure to open subglacial channels to form catastrophic drainage
(Björnsson, 1992; Walder and Costa, 1996). Hazards from glacier length
variations are more on a medium- to long- term basis and generally not
associated with a certain time of the year (except for very fast moving
glacier events such as surges or surge-type accelerated movements; Haeberli
and others, in press). Major glacier advances have repeatedly threatened
and destroyed human installations in the past. An important hazard often
related to glacier length variations are combinations of the above-mentioned
hazards, e.g. a glacier advancing or retreating over a ridge, thus producing
an ice avalanche which then could trigger the outburst of a lake.
Figure
seasonal variability (click to enlarge)
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